Franklin Monthly Real Estate Recap: February & March 2026

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Is it just me.. or has this year FLOWN so far? We're already about 25% through 2026 and this is only the second blog post I've had time to write this year. (I still have trust issues with AI - lol)

As I waited to catch a flight in BNA, the Nashville International Airport, on my way to a business retreat earlier this month, I couldn't help but to notice the sudden and massive activity there as well. If you’ve walked through Nashville International Airport lately, you’ve already seen the best metaphor for the 2026 Nashville Real Estate market in Franklin, Brentwood, basically all of Williamson County, and Greater Nashville: More movement, more construction, more confidence, and a leveled-up energy compared to 2025.

2025 wasn't a total snoozefest for BNA. The airport added five gates with the Concourse D extension in July and served more than 24.7 million passengers last year. But now, they've launched another major phase of expansion aimed at serving up to 40 million passengers annually. This airport is not acting like a city that is slowing down. Neither is our housing market.

A Sneaky Start

Honestly, after the kind of January we had, that shift is saying something. Winter Storm Fern hit hard enough that Metro Nashville declared a local state of emergency on January 25, 2026. For a minute, everything felt delayed, heavy, and a little stuck. Real Estate included. Housing felt like a bust for about 2 weeks there. But the minute everything thawed, February, March and April have felt like 2019 Nashville Real Estate again: Not frozen, not frantic, just back in motion. It feels really good.

The numbers back that up. In Greater Nashville’s nine-county market, January 2026 closed with:

1,825 total closings, a residential median sales price of $485,598, and 11,795 homes in inventory. 

Then February stepped forward with:

2,133 closings, a $499,900 residential median price, 12,315 homes in inventory, and 2,433 pending sales.

It's important to note that though we've seen month-to-month gains across Greater Nashville, our year-to-year home prices have stayed relatively flat, indicating much of the monthly gains are seasonal. And they are consistent with our typical seasonal patterns every year.

The big story comes when I hone in on the markets I primarily serve -- Franklin, Brentwood, Nolensville and the southwest areas of Davidson County. In Williamson County, we continue to out-perform not just Greater Nashville, but the entire United States average. 

Our latest year-to-year growth in Williamson County looks like this:

While every other county is just about flat (or even slightly decreasing in prices), Williamson County continues to show great Buyer demand, with the highest Median home sales price we have EVER had as of the end of March. $1,030,000 is a 60% increase from where our median price was five years ago ($407,500 in 2021). And as you can see, the ONLY year in recent history that we've seen a dip in our median sales prices was 2025. That was a 5% dip, and as I told everyone on social media and in my blog posts, that was a window of opportunity. My clients who followed my advice and jumped on it won. They are already seeing great equity gains within just months of purchase.

It's not all over for Buyers, though! In Williamson County alone, we have 13% more inventory than this time last year. And our average Days on Market is up to 44 from 33 this time last year. This year, our mortgage interest rates are more friendly, in the form of consistency and decreases. As of COB Friday, the rates have continued on their downward trend.

All of this is likely why we're seeing so many more Buyers in our market right now. And as I've said a gazillion times, more Buyers brings more Sellers and more Sellers brings more Buyers. Everyone wins with more activity: Buyers have more choices, more leverage, and more time to think, but Sellers are still benefiting from price support when they show up correctly and with realistic expectations.

Cruising at High Altitudes

This is why I keep saying this is not a crash market. It is a calibration market. Greater Nashville REALTORS has described February’s market as one where inventory growth is benefiting buyers, and its March commentary has framed 2026 as a more balanced and predictable phase for Nashville real estate. That feels exactly right on the ground. Homes are selling. Buyers are watching. Sellers can still win. But the strategy has to match the season we are actually in, not the one people remember from years ago.

And this is where the airport comparison really works.

BNA does not feel like 2025 anymore because the change is visible. You can literally see the city preparing for what is next. The airport is expanding because the traffic is there, the demand is there, and Middle Tennessee keeps growing into the infrastructure around it. This Spring, BNA added new Southwest routes beginning in March, including Montego Bay, San José, Knoxville, Little Rock, and Montrose. It also expanded parking capacity for Spring Break to handle a 25% rise in passenger volume versus SB 2025, while ongoing roadway work and terminal improvements kept moving forward. It is busy, yes, but it is purposeful busy. That is exactly how February, March and April have felt in Real Estate too.

For Buyers in Franklin, Brentwood, and across Greater Nashville, this market is giving you something we did not have much of in the frenzy years: Options. More inventory means more chances to compare neighborhoods, study commute patterns, negotiate better terms, and buy with clearer eyes. It also means the “perfect” house matters less than the right overall fit. Buyers are not just asking whether a home is pretty. They are asking whether it is priced right, whether it has been sitting, whether the Seller is realistic, and whether the location truly works for daily life. The extra inventory and longer days on market are helping them do that.

For Sellers, this is still a very workable market, but it is not a lazy one. You cannot throw a home online and expect 2021 to rise from the dead and write you an over-ask offer by dinner. But if your home is priced well, prepared well, and marketed well, Buyers are absolutely still out there. The increase in pending sales we saw in February and March tells us people are not just browsing. They are acting. They just happen to be acting with more intention now.

That is why I think February and March 2026 matter so much for Nashville real estate. January was the weather delay. February was the runway clear. March felt like takeoff. In April, we are flying high, cruising above the rest of the country.

Blue Skies Ahead

If you want the simplest version of what I’m seeing, it’s this: Our local market is back in business, but in a healthier way. More selection. Better questions. Smarter negotiations. Real movement. In a place like Greater Nashville, that matters because the best decisions have never been about hype anyway. They have always been about timing, preparation, and knowing which local signals actually matter.

That is my job in this market.

Not to push people into a move, but to help them read the moment correctly.

If you are buying or selling in Franklin, Brentwood, Nashville, or anywhere across Greater Nashville in 2026, this is the kind of market where local strategy matters more than ever. National headlines are still noisy. But on the ground here, the signal is getting much clearer.

And right now, it sounds a whole lot like BNA.

Want a personalized market valuation for your home? I'm always happy to talk Real Estate! 

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Thinking of moving? Need a plan tailored to your needs? Erika Kurre is ready to help you. As a Franklin resident and a Multi-Platinum Award-Winning Williamson County REALTOR ranking in the top 1.5% of agents locally. Erika Kurre is a top producer within Benchmark Realty, the largest brokerage in Tennessee and among the largest in the country. Erika Kurre's continuing education includes several designations and decades of Real Estate experience keeps her up-to-date with fast-changing market trends. Erika Kurre is the best Real Estate agent in Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee and Greater Nashville, Tennessee, according to reviews from clients. Erika Kurre is a Million-Dollar GUILD Member of the Luxury Home Marketing Institute, and her market insights are regularly featured in broadcast media. Erika Kurre's success planted her on the front page of a December 2021 Nashville-area Magazine. But most importantly, Erika Kurre specializes in helping current and future friends and neighbors buy and sell homes. Why look further when you've got a friend and neighbor who is among the best in the business!?